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In recognizing Somaliland, Israel sets a dangerous precedent

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By Dahir Hassan Abdi
Monday January 12, 2026

In recognizing Somaliland, Israel sets a dangerous precedent
Hundreds of Somalis, protesting Israel’s recognition of Somaliland as an independent nation.

Israel’s recognition of Somaliland — the northwest Somali region — as an independent country has marked a deliberate break with longstanding international practice.

Announced outside the established rules-based order, the move left Israel isolated as the only UN member state to recognize a territory the international community still treats as part of the Federal Republic of Somalia. 

The backlash was immediate. Governments across Africa, Europe, and the Middle East, as well as the U.S., moved quickly to restate Somalia’s territorial integrity. The African Union led with a reaffirmation of Somalia’s unity, soon echoed by the Intergovernmental Authority on Development and the European Union.

Washington followed suit, with the U.S. State Department confirming that its recognition of Somalia includes the territory of Somaliland. Each statement of reaffirmation rested squarely on existing legal frameworks governing sovereignty and borders, principles embedded in the UN Charter and rarely challenged without consequence.

That position was reinforced beyond Somalia’s immediate neighborhood. More than twenty countries, joined by the Organization of Islamic Cooperation, issued a joint rejection of Israel’s decision, warning that unilateral changes to Somalia’s borders would endanger peace and security across the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea basin. Similar individual statements from governments in the Middle East and Asia reinforced the same point. Somaliland’s status, they insisted, remains a matter for international law and regional agreement, not selective recognition.

Geography explains why the reaction was so forceful. Somaliland sits along the Gulf of Aden at the entrance to the Red Sea, a maritime artery carrying roughly thirty percent of global trade. That route is already under strain from the war in Yemen and repeated attacks on commercial shipping. Any political shock along this stretch of coast risks adding yet another layer of instability to an already fragile corridor.

The density of military infrastructure and major power rivalry nearby adds to that sensitivity. Djibouti, a short distance away, hosts military bases from the U.S., China, France and others, a testament to the Red Sea’s importance to global commerce and power projection. Fresh incentives for militarization or external basing along this coastline threaten to sharpen rivalries and undermine peace and security at a time when restraint and coordination are already in short supply.

Inside Somalia, recognition changes little on the ground. Somaliland does not exercise uncontested authority over all the territory it claims. Violence in and around Las Anod has displaced civilians and exposed internal divisions, while the recognition of North-East region as a Federal Member State earlier this year further narrowed the geographic scope of Somaliland’s secessionist claim. External recognition does not resolve these disputes.

The security implications are harder still to dismiss. Extremist groups in Somalia have long exploited political disputes by portraying them as the product of foreign meddling. Moves that bypass Somali constitutional processes hand such groups fresh propaganda and complicate efforts to stabilize the country through dialogue and institution-building. They also sit awkwardly alongside counterterrorism operations that depend on coordination across Somalia’s recognized territory.

Somalia’s federal system was designed to address regional grievances without dismantling the state itself. Talks between Mogadishu and Hargeisa have occurred before and can resume. Their credibility, however, rests on legal processes as recognized by Somalia’s neighbors and international partners. That framework allows for autonomy while preserving national unity.

Throughout this period, Somalia has continued to cooperate closely with the U.S. and others on counterterrorism and regional security. That partnership rests on shared interests and settled policy, including Washington’s explicit commitment to Somalia’s sovereignty and territorial integrity.

History offers a caution. Recognition of breakaway regions seldom remains an isolated act. Precedents spread, particularly in regions where borders were forged through compromise rather than consent. The Horn of Africa and the Red Sea are already grappling with overlapping crises that demand coordination, not diplomatic improvisation.

The international reaction to Israel’s decision reflects a wider anxiety about how stability is sustained. With trade routes under strain and regional tensions entrenched, adherence to and respect for process, law and restraint has ceased to be a matter of diplomatic taste — it has, rather, become a practical necessity.

Dahir Hassan Abdi is the Federal Republic of Somalia‘s ambassador to the U.S.